ZEW Sentimen drop, Eur tertekan
selasa 22 Agustus 2017 jam 16.10
Eurusd 1.1766
Eurusd support 1.1687
M5 strong bearish
M30 strong bearish
H1 strong bearish
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Trading Plan Selasa, 22 Agustus 2017
Jam 13 Wib
-Sesi ASIA berlangsung sepi,
-kalender eknomi data sepi,
-Yen mengalami pelemahan setelah kemarin menguat,
-Minyak menguat,
-Emas menurun,
-Trump berencana menambah jumlah pauskan di afganistan, berlawanan dengan program kampanyenya.
-Isu perang korea utara sementara agak mereda,
- Jam 16.00 akan dirilis data ZEW sentiment,
- Jam 17.00 akan dirilis UK CBI data, GBPUSD melemah setelah menyentuh resistance 1.2913,
- Market masih cemas menunggu pidato Yellen dan Draghi di Jackson Hole Summit
https://forexbase.camp/copytrade/monitoring/9136980
Trading Plan 21 sd 25 Agustus 2017
[b]USD[/b]
Korea Utara kembali mengancam perang nuklir atas latihan bersama US dan Korsel,
Trumps akan menarik pasukan Amerika di Afganistan,
Miami terror attack
$45 billion eurusd option akan habis waktunya dalam 3 hari sebelum Jakcson hole meeting,
Trump tidak akan menghadiri acara Kennedy Center Honors,
15 rb Boston demonstran menentang Nazisme,
Steve Bannon Berhenti,
Dow Jones Industrial Average mengalami penurunan dalam sehari terbesar dalam 3 bulan terakhir,
VIX naik pada level tertinggi sejak bulan April,
CHF dan JPY telah mengalami kenaikan tinggi minggu lalu,
AUD, NZD, CAD rentan mengalami penurunan bila saham2 berjatuhan minggu depan,
Pasar mengantisipasi Jackson Hole meeting 24 sd 26 Agustus,
Retial Sales Stronger than expected, Minggu lalu.
The Empire states and philadelphia fed manufacturing indices beat expectation,
Consumer confidence rose to its highest level since january according University of Michigan Report.
Fed Predisent dudley express his hawkish,
USA and South Korea willl hold military exercise mulai hari senin,
Minggu Lalu, North Korea issue relieve.
Chartlotville spiralled out of control.
Trumps disband business concil
Trump Tax reform confidence deteriorated.
FOMC minutes dovished,
Anticaped data: Durable goods, home sales
[b]EUR[/b]
Bearish:
- Russia Teroris attack
- Barcelona terrorist attack
- Finland terorist attack
- ECB worried of high eur value
- Inflation is lacking
- Current account balance bernilai rendah diluar harapan
Bullish:
- Trades surplus rising to 22.3B from 19B
Anticipated News:
- August PMI, ZEW survey and IFO reports.
- Draghi speaks on wednesday in Germany,
- Draghi speaks on friday at jckson hole,
- Eurusd may break below 1.17
[b]UK[/b]
Bullish:
- Angka pengangguran turun ke level 4.4%, terendah sejak tahun 1975,
- Labor market improved indicated by wage groeth and consumer spednng rising,
Bearish:
- Consumer price decline in July,
- Market sentiment taht BOE is not in rush for normalization.
- gbpusd w1 menggalami penurunan terbesar dalam rentang lbh dari 2 bulan data,
Anticipated News:
- Tidak ada data penting dalam rentang minggu depan,
- Negosiasi Brexit dikhawatirkan chaos, dan merusak ekonomi dalam jangka panjang,
- GDPUSD and GDPJPY may extend it losses.
[b]Austraila[/b]
Job growth was rising
Permanent job was declining
Unemployment rate was declining
Average hourly earning increased.
[b]New Zealand[/b]
Dairy price declined
Service sector activity slowed
Consumer confidence increased
Producer Price lower
Anticpated news: Trade balance report
[b]CAD[/b]
CAD pada level 2 minggu tinggi terhadap USD
BOC diprediksi akan menaikkan lagi suku bunga,
Laju inflasi meningkat sesuai eksektasi analis,
Harga minyak naik, namun masih dibayangi oleh kekhawatiran membanjirnya pasokan,
CPI was growth strong
BOC hawkished
Anticipated news: Retail sales report
[b]JAPAN[/b]
Bullish:
Tankan Index Raise,
Next week will be very difficult trading week!!!
USDJPY pada harga rendah/oversold, namun indikasi kenaikan USD terhambat oleh isu-isu politik di Amerika yang kian memanas.
Menjual USDJPY dengan alasan risk aversion & resiko perpolitikan, beresiko *SELL at bottom*,
Membeli USDJPY perlu bersabar menunggu isu isu politik mereda.
eurusd kemungkinan support pada level 1.1682, resistance 1.1820
gbpusd support 1.2792
usdcad support 1.2550
usdjpy support 108.60
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